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June 19th MLB news ... Welcome to MLB line online, the place with all of your MLB betting information.
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This site was created to assist the baseball gambler in developing a competitive edge and increasing his profits, all season long.
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MLB: Handicapping signs point to Johnson, Florida2010-08-19
The Marlins and Pirates continue Apuestas Deportivas Online Bingo NFL Betting Lines
a 4-game set in Pittsburgh on Wednesday night and so far the teams have split two 6-run decisions, with Florida taking the latest encounter in shutout fashion on Tuesday night. That win, a key system, several strong trends, and stud pitcher Josh Johnson going for the Marlins are good signs of a potential repeat performance on Wednesday night. This game is certainly worthy of your consideration, both on the money line and run line. Sportsbook.com currently lists Florida as a -162 favorite, with an accompanying run line of -1.5 (-105).
Johnson didn't look anything like a Cy Young Award contender his last time out, failing to escape the fourth inning in his worst start in more than three years. The right-hander gave up six runs and 10 hits over 3 2-3 innings, failing to record a strikeout in a 7-2 loss at Cincinnati.
Following that rough outing with another seems rather unlikely, as he faces the Pirates and their NL-worst offense. Johnson's ERA has dropped from easily the best in the majors to fourth, but the Marlins (58-60) won't be surprised if he rebounds Wednesday at PNC Park. Pittsburgh is averaging 3.43 runs and hitting .241, both last in the NL.
The Pirates (40-79) mustered six hits against Ricky Nolasco and two relievers in a 6-0 loss Tuesday that evened the four-game set at 1-all. The Marlins held a closed-door meeting after Monday's 7-1 loss.
It's no surprise Pittsburgh has struggled to hit the premier pitching in the NL, but the numbers are still staggering. The nine pitchers other than Johnson that make up the league's top 10 in ERA are 8-2 with a 1.22 ERA in 12 starts against the Pirates.
Aside from who Pittsburgh faces, the presence of Ross Ohlendorf (1-9, 3.95) on the mound seems to guarantee the Pirates' bats will go cold. No starter who has pitched 50 innings has received less support than the 2.24 runs Ohlendorf averages.
The following money line system from FoxSheets gives Florida about an 80% chance of winning tonight, based upon Johnson’s prowess and Pittsburgh’s offensive ineptitude.
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (PITTSBURGH) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.70) (NL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. (68-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (80%, +40.9 units. Rating = 3*)
As indicated earlier, this is also a good potential run line spot, and a completely separate StatFox system will be looking for its seventh straight win behind the Marlins this evening:
Play On - Road teams against a 1.5 run line (FLORIDA) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start. (47-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +33.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0, +6.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-8, +31.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (95-46, +37.5 units).
The powerful information doesn’t stop there though, as numerous trends seem to indicate that Pittsburgh is in over its head for tonight’s game:
• RUSSELL is 28-69 (-26.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PITTSBURGH. The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.2, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Of course, stranger things than a mild baseball upset on a Wednesday night in August have occurred in sports, but it certainly does look like as solid of a play as they come. We’ll see what happens when the Marlins and Pirates throw out the first pitch at 7:05 PM ET tonight from PNC Park.
MLB: Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 8/28-8/302009-08-31
Major League Baseball closes out the month of August this weekend, meaning just September stands between us and the postseason. This past month has been quite influential in separating the have’s from the have-not’s. Teams like the Cardinals, Rockies, Angels, and Yankees have stepped up, while others have fallen back to where they are either out of the hunt or in danger of being so shortly. There are a handful of series’ on tap over the next three days that will have an impact on the playoff chases in each league. Read on for more about those matchups, plus our weekly look at the Top StatFox Power Trends for you to consider in your wagering action.
With the Dodgers having fought off the hard charge by the Rockies by taking two of three from them this week, only one race has any significant drama in the National League, that being for the wildcard spot. The top two teams in that chase, Colorado and San Francisco will go head-to-head for the second straight weekend, this time with the Giants acting as hosts. The Rockies took three out of four in Denver the last time out and lead the overall series 7-5 in 2009. Only three games separate the teams coming in, with the Giants hoping to close the gap. They are 41-21 at home this season, good for +16.4 units of profit.
In the American League, only one of the races is closer than 4-games as well. That is also for the wildcard spot. Boston, Texas, and Tampa Bay are all within 3-1/2 games of one another with the Red Sox leading the way and facing what figures to be the easiest weekend set of the three. They are playing host to Toronto, who is free-falling to the tune of 16-games under .500 since June 25th. Boston remains one of the league’s best home teams at 42-21 and owns an 8-4 record vs. the jays in ’09, including 3-0 at Fenway.
Texas and Tampa Bay both faces rather difficult series’ and Minnesota and Detroit, respectively. The Twins remain in the hunt in the A.L. Central Division, 4-1/2 games back of the Tigers. Minnesota may be starting to catch fire once again, having won seven of its last nine games. The Rangers were able to take two of three in New York this week, a successful set, but will need to overcome a 4-9 record at the Metrodome over the last three seasons. The Rays are actually 2-games better than the Tigers in won-lost record, but find themselves in a bigger hole where the playoffs are concerned. The defending A.L. champs are 3-1/2 games behind the Red Sox in the wildcard race and face a schedule of 16-straight games starting Friday against teams that are current playoff position holders. Needless to say, Tampa will make or break its season in the next two weeks. Detroit meanwhile, is doing little special but continues to maintain a somewhat comfortable cushion in the Central.
Elsewhere, the Yankees will play host to the White Sox, the Braves will visit Philadelphia, and the Dodgers will look to build on their big series win over Colorado with a trip to Cincinnati. The Reds own MLB’s longest winning streak currently, four games.
Now, here are those Top StatFox Power Trends for you to utilize this weekend in your baseball wagering.
NY METS at CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-15 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in August games this season. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.3, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)
ATLANTA at PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 56-30 (+26.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.5, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 2*)
LA DODGERS at CINCINNATI
LA DODGERS are 16-5 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. The average score was LA DODGERS 5.6, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 1*)
SAN DIEGO at FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 22-11 (+12.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*)
PITTSBURGH at MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 9-24 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. The average score was MILWAUKEE 4.7, OPPONENT 6.2 - (Rating = 4*)
WASHINGTON at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 22-5 (+14.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was ST LOUIS 5.7, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 2*)
HOUSTON at ARIZONA
HOUSTON is 47-21 (+25.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was HOUSTON 5.2, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 2*)
COLORADO at SAN FRANCISCO
COLORADO is 14-5 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. The average score was COLORADO 5.0, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 2*)
CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 6-18 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. The average score was BALTIMORE 4.0, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 2*)
TAMPA BAY at DETROIT
TAMPA BAY is 10-21 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was TAMPA BAY 4.2, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 2*)
CHI WHITE SOX at NY YANKEES
CHI WHITE SOX are 7-23 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 3.8, OPPONENT 5.8 - (Rating = 1*)
TORONTO at BOSTON
TORONTO is 17-34 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. The average score was TORONTO 3.9, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 2*)
TEXAS at MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 20-5 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 6.0, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*)
OAKLAND at LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 30-13 (+16.2 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. The average score was LA ANGELS 6.1, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 2*)
KANSAS CITY at SEATTLE
SEATTLE is 29-52 (-21.9 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SEATTLE 3.9, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)
MLB Series Betting- Chicago Cubs at White Sox 2009-06-26
The Windy City is about to get a whole lot windier with the Cubs invading the South Side of Chicago to face the White Sox. For the fans of these teams, this is really a treat, for the bragging rites of the town, no matter where they finish in the standings. (Be in the baseball betting action checking the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS, TEAM STATISTICS and PROPS like SERIES WAGERING each day)
The Cubs (34-35, -8.6 units) return to Chicago having lost the first four games of their road trip. Once again it is a lack of offense, averaging three runs per game to start the 10-game trip. The North Siders are just 6-14 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games after batting .250 or worse over a 20-game span this season.
The White Sox (35-37, -2.4 units) are feeling pretty spry after beating the best team in baseball, the Dodgers, two of three times. “Most importantly, we won a series against a club like the Dodgers, who came into town with the best record,” Sox outfielder Scott Podsednik said. “Maybe that will give us some momentum at home. We haven’t been playing that great here.”
The Pale Hose have won four of five and seven of last 10, as they try to get back to .500 on the season. Their win yesterday ended 0-2-1 home series drought. The down side is they are 23-37 having won three of their last four games over the last two seasons.
The White Sox will face Randy Wells (1-3, 2.57 ERA), who is coming off his first major league victory after finally receiving run support. He has allowed two or fewer runs in six of his eight starts, yet picked up just his first win last Sunday against Cleveland in 6-2 victory. He’ll face Jose Contreras (2-6, 5.23), who is 2-1 in last three starts with 1.23 ERA. Sportsbook.com has the Cubs as slight -110 money line favorites with total of Ov.9. The Cubs have been poor series starters and are 4-13 in road games when playing on Friday’s since last year. The White Sox by contrast are 13-3 as a home underdog of +100 to +125.
Game 1 Edge: Cubs
Mark Buehrle (7-2, 3.17) is one of the most dominant home pitchers in baseball. The left-hander and his Sox mates are 45-20 at US Cellular Field and he is 19-6 in interleague play. The month of June has been Buehrle’s time, with 27-11 record and the White Sox have won 20 of last 28 starts the lefty has made on Saturday.
Contrast those numbers with the Cubs and Ryan Dempster (4-5, 3.83) on the road. Coming into the series, the Cubbies are 5-16 in last 21 visitor assignments. This includes in part losing nine in a row in interleague play in road uniforms. Dempster and the Cubs have dropped 10 of 11 road games he’s started and if the Cubs lose on Friday, the two collectively are 0-9 off a defeat.
Game 2 Edge: White Sox
The final game of the series has Carlos Zambrano (4-2, 3.48) taking on John Danks (5-6, 4.43). Zambrano has complained he’s “bored” playing road interleague games, since he doesn’t get to hit with Cubs using DH. Big Z hasn’t pitched that way with 3-1 record and 2.78 ERA in away contests. Danks hasn’t been able to spot his pitches as well this year, being hurt by the long ball. The left-hander surrendered 15 home runs in 2008 and has allowed 11 already this year. Maybe pitching during the day will help, with his earned run average less than half playing in the afternoon compared to pitching at night (2.45 day vs 5.00 night).
Game 3 Edge: White Sox
These teams have taken turns sweeping each other the last two years off the Dan Ryan Freeway, with the Pale Hose taking all three a season ago. The White Sox have won four of last five and are playing better baseball at the moment. To borrow from Sox announcer Ken “Hawk” Harrelson, “Good Guys” take the weekend series.
Sportsbook.com series odds: Cubs +115, White Sox -145
StatFox Edge Pick: White Sox