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February 21st MLB news ... Welcome to MLB line online, the place with all of your MLB betting information.
Welcome to mlblineonline.com, the place with all of your MLB betting information.
This site was created to assist the baseball gambler in developing a competitive edge and increasing his profits, all season long.
By logging on daily, you will be able to keep up to date with all of the statistics and trends that are necessary to properly handicap the game of baseball.
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MLB: Handicapping signs point to Johnson, Florida2010-08-19
The Marlins and Pirates continue a 4-game set in Pittsburgh on Wednesday night and so far the teams have split two 6-run decisions, with Florida taking the latest encounter in shutout fashion on Tuesday night. That win, a key system, several strong trends, and stud pitcher Josh Johnson going for the Marlins are good signs of a potential repeat performance on Wednesday night. This game is certainly worthy of your consideration, both on the money line and run line. Sportsbook.com currently lists Florida as a -162 favorite, with an accompanying run line of -1.5 (-105).
Johnson didn't look anything like a Cy Young Award contender his last time out, failing to escape the fourth inning in his worst start in more than three years. The right-hander gave up six runs and 10 hits over 3 2-3 innings, failing to record a strikeout in a 7-2 loss at Cincinnati.
Following that rough outing with another seems rather unlikely, as he faces the Pirates and their NL-worst offense. Johnson's ERA has dropped from easily the best in the majors to fourth, but the Marlins (58-60) won't be surprised if he rebounds Wednesday at PNC Park. Pittsburgh is averaging 3.43 runs and hitting .241, both last in the NL.
The Pirates (40-79) mustered six hits against Ricky Nolasco and two relievers in a 6-0 loss Tuesday that evened the four-game set at 1-all. The Marlins held a closed-door meeting after Monday's 7-1 loss.
It's no surprise Pittsburgh has struggled to hit the premier pitching in the NL, but the numbers are still staggering. The nine pitchers other than Johnson that make up the league's top 10 in ERA are 8-2 with a 1.22 ERA in 12 starts against the Pirates.
Aside from who Pittsburgh faces, the presence of Ross Ohlendorf (1-9, 3.95) on the mound seems to guarantee the Pirates' bats will go cold. No starter who has pitched 50 innings has received less support than the 2.24 runs Ohlendorf averages.
The following money line system from FoxSheets gives Florida about an 80% chance of winning tonight, based upon Johnson’s prowess and Pittsburgh’s offensive ineptitude.
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (PITTSBURGH) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.70) (NL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. (68-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (80%, +40.9 units. Rating = 3*)
As indicated earlier, this is also a good potential run line spot, and a completely separate StatFox system will be looking for its seventh straight win behind the Marlins this evening:
Play On - Road teams against a 1.5 run line (FLORIDA) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start. (47-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +33.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0, +6.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-8, +31.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (95-46, +37.5 units).
The powerful information doesn’t stop there though, as numerous trends seem to indicate that Pittsburgh is in over its head for tonight’s game:
• RUSSELL is 28-69 (-26.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PITTSBURGH. The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.2, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
Of course, stranger things than a mild baseball upset on a Wednesday night in August have occurred in sports, but it certainly does look like as solid of a play as they come. We’ll see what happens when the Marlins and Pirates throw out the first pitch at 7:05 PM ET tonight from PNC Park.
MLB: Monday Night Baseball Betting Preview2010-05-10
While it may not generate the buzz that every Monday night does in the fall on ESPN, Monday Night Baseball has become a nice tradition, particularly for those investing their time, bankrolls, and efforts into handicapping America’s Game. Tonight’s matchup puts the New York Yankees in MoTown to face the Detroit Tigers. The visitors are set up as -130 favorites at Sportsbook.com.
On the same night the New York Yankees say hello to an old friend, the Detroit Tigers bid farewell to one of their organization’s true legends. Johnny Damon faces the Yankees on Monday night for the first time since being signed by the Tigers, who will honor Ernie Harwell as they return to Comerica Park for the first time since the Hall of Fame broadcaster passed away last week.
Detroit honored Harwell with a ceremony shortly after he announced he was ill, and before the opener of this four-game set with the Yankees (21-9, +8.9), it’ll say goodbye. A flag with Harwell’s initials will be raised as part of the festivities.
This is the first meeting between the Yankees and Tigers in 2010 - New York won five of six last season - but the clubs certainly aren’t lacking for familiarity. Just a month after the Yankees won their 27th World Series title, they acquired All-Star center fielder Curtis Granderson from Detroit in a three-team deal that sent top prospect Austin Jackson to the Tigers.
That move left little room in the outfield for Damon, who hit .285 with 77 homers from 2006-2009 with the Yankees and the two-time All-Star is now splitting time between left field and designated hitter in Detroit.
While Granderson’s return to Detroit is on hold due to a groin injury, the Tigers are certainly happy with his successor in center. Jackson has 22 hits in his last 46 at-bats and leads the AL in average (.371), a point ahead of teammate Miguel Cabrera and they are 32-14 at home in the first half of the season over the last two seasons.
New York also signed Marcus Thames in the offseason after the outfielder played in Detroit from 2004-09. He’s batting .394 with a homer and four RBIs in 13 games with his new club who is 71-38 against other teams with winning records.
Jackson had two hits and scored twice Sunday, but Max Scherzer - who came over from Arizona in the Granderson trade - was roughed up again in a 7-4 loss at Cleveland.
The Yankees had won six straight heading into Sunday’s finale at Boston but suffered a rare lopsided loss. A.J. Burnett allowed nine runs in 4 1/3 innings as New York fell 9-3, leaving them 21-31 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games having won three of four since 2008.
Alex Rodriguez doesn’t have a hit in three career at-bats against Dontrelle Willis (1-1, 3.99 ERA, 1.502 WHIP), who is showing signs of progress after making just 14 starts the past two seasons. Willis pitched six shutout innings against the Twins to earn his first win April 29 and retired 12 straight Tuesday at Minnesota after allowing six of the first 10 batters to reach. He didn’t receive a decision, giving up three runs over 5 1/3 innings in a 4-3 loss.
Willis hasn’t faced the Yankees since 2006 with Florida and is 12-25 (-20.5 Units) against the ML vs. teams whose hitters strike out six or less times a contest in his career. (Team's Record)
The left-hander will be opposed by Sergio Mitre (0-0, 2.79, 0.928), who’s making a spot start while Andy Pettitte recovers from left elbow inflammation. Mitre was 3-3 with a 7.16 in nine starts last season, and he’s expected to be limited to 70 pitches in his first career appearance against Detroit.
Sportsbook.com has New York as -130 ML favorites with total Ov10 and they are 115-52 as a favorite of -110 or higher and 8-0 OVER after three consecutive games versus a division rival this year. The Tigers are 30-15 at Comerica Park when the money line is +125 to -125 and is 24-11 OVER at same location vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better.
This series opener for this four game series is on ESPN at 7:05 Eastern for Monday Night Baseball.
The StatFox Power Line shows New York -134.